Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the identity of the anonymous administration figure who authored the NYT editorial be discovered by Nov 6 2018?

Resolved :No25%
3
1
Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction25% (11% - 34%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
54.0
Community Peer Score
22.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2018 Leaderboard
The New York Times
2018 United States elections

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