Question

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction

33%

(25% - 39%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Feb 24, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2080

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2080

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 26, 2023

Politics

United States

Republican Party (US)

Democratic Party (US)

Franklin Pierce

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

2084

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

1.4%

Comments

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