Question

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction33%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

median 33.0%mean 34.9%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Democratic Party (US)

Franklin Pierce

United States

Republican Party (US)

With US House election gains, Republicans close in on unified power

Al Jazeera•Nov 11, 2024

Election 2024: Neither "Landslide" Nor "Mandate"

OpEdNews•Nov 11, 2024

‘No Clear Favorite’: CNN’s Enten Breaks Down How Democrat Party Has No ‘Heir Apparent’ For Next Presidential Primary

Daily Caller•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

2087-11-24

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2056-10-10

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

39%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Democratic Party (US)

Franklin Pierce

United States

Republican Party (US)

With US House election gains, Republicans close in on unified power

Al Jazeera•Nov 11, 2024

Election 2024: Neither "Landslide" Nor "Mandate"

OpEdNews•Nov 11, 2024

‘No Clear Favorite’: CNN’s Enten Breaks Down How Democrat Party Has No ‘Heir Apparent’ For Next Presidential Primary

Daily Caller•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

2087-11-24

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2056-10-10

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

39%