Question

On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters183
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
93.7
Community Peer Score
13.7
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2023

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