Question

In 2023 will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges?

Resolved :Yes

54 comments54

Total Forecasters179

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

6.0

Community Peer Score

6.6

median 99.0%mean 93.8%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Law

Politics

Donald Trump

Obstruction of justice

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2029-10-05

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Comments

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Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Law

Politics

Donald Trump

Obstruction of justice

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Forbes•Nov 13, 2024

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Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

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Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2029-10-05

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%