Question

On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK?

Resolved :Yes99%

6 comments6

Total Forecasters153

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

83.9

Community Peer Score

11.9

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Authors:

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ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Elections

Politics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Rishi Sunak

United Kingdom

Prime Minister of the UK

Starmer won’t get an easier Liaison Committee grilling than this

Spectator (UK)•Dec 20, 2024

How much do you remember about 2024? What does 2025 hold? Find out in the quiz

NPR Online News•Dec 14, 2024

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Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

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Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Elections

Politics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Rishi Sunak

United Kingdom

Prime Minister of the UK

Starmer won’t get an easier Liaison Committee grilling than this

Spectator (UK)•Dec 20, 2024

How much do you remember about 2024? What does 2025 hold? Find out in the quiz

NPR Online News•Dec 14, 2024

Donald Trump May Not Have Justin Trudeau to Kick Around Anymore

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK?

Make a Prediction

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Comments

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?