Question

On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK?

Resolved :Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters153

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

83.9

Community Peer Score

11.9

median 99.0%mean 98.9%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Prime Minister of the UK

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Prime Minister of the UK

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Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%