Question

In 2023 will the UK hold a general election?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters129

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

88.5

Community Peer Score

9.9

median 0.1%mean 0.7%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

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Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

2.4%

When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?

2033-04-03

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

52.3%

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