Question

Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2023?

Resolved :No1%

26 comments26

Total Forecasters134

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 1%

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-1.1

Community Peer Score

36.1

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casens

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ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Scott Alexander

United States

Unemployment in the US

Americans will likely get one more interest rate cut this week before the year closes out

Business Insider•Dec 17, 2024

Americans end 2024 with grim economic outlook, but Republicans are optimistic for 2025: AP-NORC poll

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Wall Street sees 'slower' pace of Fed rate cuts in 2025

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

39%

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.79

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