Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4?

Resolved :Yes99.9%
15
12
Total Forecasters151
Community Prediction99.9% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
17.0
Community Peer Score
2.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Scott Alexander
OpenAI

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