Question

In 2023, will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction?

Resolved :No90%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters85

Community Prediction90% (86% - 91%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-87.9

Community Peer Score

3.2

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Scott Alexander

Gary Marcus

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