Question

Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022?

Resolved :No1%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters137

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

46.2

Community Peer Score

21.1

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Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Health & Pandemics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

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Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

163k

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