Question

In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines?

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Community Prediction1% (0.3% - 1%)

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50%

community: 1%

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ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

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Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Health & Pandemics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

Latest Symptoms of COVID-19: New Strain Presents Like the Common Cold

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Predictive Analysis: Pandemic 2.0 Will Drop Early in Trump Term

PJ Media•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

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In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines?

Make a Prediction

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?