Question

On January 1, 2024, will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour?

Resolved :No

17 comments17

Total Forecasters107

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

82.2

Community Peer Score

11.2

median 1.0%mean 2.2%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Presidio of San Francisco

Self-driving car

Now anyone in LA can hail a Waymo robotaxi

TechCrunch•Nov 13, 2024

Waymo opens robotaxis to anyone in Los Angeles, marking its largest expansion yet

NBC•Nov 13, 2024

Waymo’s robotaxis are now available to everyone in Los Angeles

Verge•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

80%

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

2041-03-03

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