Question

On January 1, 2024, will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour?

Resolved :No

17 comments17

Total Forecasters107

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

82.2

Community Peer Score

11.2

median 1.0%mean 2.2%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Presidio of San Francisco

Self-driving car

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

80%

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

2041-03-03

Comments

? comments