Question

In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30?

Resolved :No5%

27 comments27

Total Forecasters119

Community Prediction5% (1% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

26.7

Community Peer Score

12.0

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Scott Alexander

Cultured meat

United States

Americans Told to Cut Down on Red Meat

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

From Chili's to burger chains, here are the restaurant industry winners and losers in 2024

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

A vegan cheese that actually tastes good? Thank this ancient fungus

CNN•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

2027-01-31

What will be the lowest retail price, in 2019USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat in 2026?

16.8

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

12.4

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Scott Alexander

Cultured meat

United States

Americans Told to Cut Down on Red Meat

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

From Chili's to burger chains, here are the restaurant industry winners and losers in 2024

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

A vegan cheese that actually tastes good? Thank this ancient fungus

CNN•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

2027-01-31

What will be the lowest retail price, in 2019USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat in 2026?

16.8

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

12.4

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30?

Make a Prediction

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

What will be the lowest retail price, in 2019USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat in 2026?

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

Comments

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

What will be the lowest retail price, in 2019USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat in 2026?

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

What will be the lowest retail price, in 2019USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat in 2026?

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

What will be the lowest retail price, in 2019USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat in 2026?

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?