M

Question

In 2023 will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source?

Resolved :Yes
13
23
Total Forecasters211
Community Prediction75%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
30.8
Community Peer Score
28.1
median 75.0%mean 71.9%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
AI Safety
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Scott Alexander
Cyber-security regulation
Communication
Deepfake

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