Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency?

Resolved :No1%
5
7
Total Forecasters140
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
64.0
Community Peer Score
15.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
Health & Pandemics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Infectious disease
Scott Alexander
Public Health Emergency of International Concern
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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