Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will a fifth nation launch a person into space?

11
6
Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction2030-03-07 (2026-07-06 - 2036-01-23)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2099-12-29
...
...
...
...
2026-07-06 00:36
2030-03-07 15:05
2036-01-23 07:06
1.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Pshyeah
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
Indian Space Research Organisation
Soviet Union
Vostok programme
Launch service provider
European Union
China
India
Chinese space program
Aerospace engineering
United States

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