Question

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters142

Community Prediction12% (4% - 19%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Sep 15, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Social Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

National Center for Education Statistics

Does more education lead to less sex?

Economist•Feb 12, 2025

Students Pour Their Hearts Into College Admissions. Do Schools Care?

Forbes•Feb 15, 2025

College Students Could Lose Funding Aid Amid $2.7 Billion Shortfall

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

96%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Sep 15, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Social Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

National Center for Education Statistics

Does more education lead to less sex?

Economist•Feb 12, 2025

Students Pour Their Hearts Into College Admissions. Do Schools Care?

Forbes•Feb 15, 2025

College Students Could Lose Funding Aid Amid $2.7 Billion Shortfall

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

96%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%