Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

Resolved :119120
6
29
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction120 (108 - 128)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<30
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>300
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
107.8
120.1
128.4
0.3%

What was the final result?119

Community Baseline Score
80.9
Community Peer Score
7.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard
GPRD

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