Question

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

Resolved :119120

29 comments29

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction120 (108 - 128)

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My Prediction

community

<30

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>300

...

0.2%

107.8

120.1

128.4

0.3%

What was the final result?119

Community Baseline Score

80.9

Community Peer Score

7.9

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Jan 14, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Geopolitics

2023 Leaderboard

GPRD

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Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

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Economic Map Shows Countries With Fast, Slow Growth Forecast for 2025

Newsweek•Jan 27, 2025

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What will be the global Trade Openness Index in the following years?

What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years?

1.93

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Jan 14, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Geopolitics

2023 Leaderboard

GPRD

Data Center Energy Demand Fueled Massive Gains For Utility Stocks In 2024

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

What Is the Biggest Threat to the World in 2025?

Newsweek•Jan 27, 2025

Economic Map Shows Countries With Fast, Slow Growth Forecast for 2025

Newsweek•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the global Trade Openness Index in the following years?

What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years?

1.93

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?