Question

When will the longest spaceflight of any one person reach 5 years?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters74

Community Prediction2040-12-30

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-12-30

...

2037-04-14 16:03

2040-12-30 00:00

53.8%

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ISS year-long mission

Scott Kelly (astronaut)

What will be the longest uninterrupted stay (in days) in deep space before 2051?

733

When will the 1,000th person reach space?

2034-06-24

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

49%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ISS year-long mission

Scott Kelly (astronaut)

Four space station fliers undock and head for Friday splashdown to wrap up extended mission

CBS•Oct 24, 2024

SpaceX’s Crew-8 capsule is coming home. Here’s why Boeing Starliner’s astronauts aren’t on it

CNN•Oct 25, 2024

4 space station fliers return to Earth after record-setting 235-day mission

CBS•Oct 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the longest uninterrupted stay (in days) in deep space before 2051?

733

When will the 1,000th person reach space?

2034-06-24

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

49%