Question

Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction29.7% (24% - 47%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29.7%

Authors:

dtark

Opened:

Jan 14, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Is a Bird Flu Pandemic Next?

OpEdNews•Jan 21, 2025

Predicting 2025: The Bird Flu out the window

offGuardian•Jan 22, 2025

HMPV, Bird Flu and Norovirus: What Should US Be Most Worried About?

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

2032-07-27

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dtark

Opened:

Jan 14, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Is a Bird Flu Pandemic Next?

OpEdNews•Jan 21, 2025

Predicting 2025: The Bird Flu out the window

offGuardian•Jan 22, 2025

HMPV, Bird Flu and Norovirus: What Should US Be Most Worried About?

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

2032-07-27

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

60%