Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?

18
75
107 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 55

Make a Prediction

CandidatesMe
Patrick McHenry (R)
no
Kevin McCarthy (R)
yes
Andy Biggs (R)
no
Don Bacon (R)
no
Steve Scalise (R)
no
Donald Trump (R)
no
Jim Banks (R)
no
Hakeem Jeffries (D)
no
Jim Jordan (R)
no
Elise Stefanik (R)
no
Byron Donalds (R)
no
Fred Upton (R)
no
Kevin Hern (R)
no
Resolved Jan 7, 2023
Community Baseline Score
62.0
Community Peer Score
1.2
Learn more about scores here.
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