M

Question

[Short Fuse] How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?

Resolved :1515
Total Forecasters68
Community Prediction15 (14.8 - 15.5)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%14.77
median15.03
upper 75%15.54
Upper bound
>207.9%

What was the final result?15

Community Baseline Score
-10.6
Community Peer Score
27.0
Authors:
Opened:Jan 3, 2023
Closes:Jan 9, 2023
Resolves:Jan 9, 2023

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