🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?

25
25
Total Forecasters83
Community Prediction86.2 (81.9 - 90.7)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
81.89
86.18
90.72
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Freedom House
Freedom in the World

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