Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?

11
5
Total Forecasters70
Community Prediction48 (43.5 - 52.6)

Make a Prediction

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
43.5
47.95
52.59
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Politics
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Freedom House
Freedom in the World

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