Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years?

5
21
11 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Judgesresolution
Judges25thmedian75th
community
<5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>150
0.1%
58.83
68.41
72.04
0.2%

What was the final result?71

Community Baseline Score
41.3
Community Peer Score
16.5
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 11
Authors:
Anastasia
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Law
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2023 Leaderboard
Supreme Court of the US
Constitution of the US
United States District Court for the District of Columbia
Guam
Northern Mariana Islands
Federal judiciary of the United States
Puerto Rico
Federal tribunals in the United States

Comments

? comments