Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024?

Resolved :Yes99.9%
19
46
Total Forecasters175
Community Prediction99.9% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
12.8
Community Peer Score
1.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Technology
2023 Leaderboard
Russo-Ukrainian War
Altay (tank)
Ariete
Leclerc tank
Poland
NATO
MIM-104 Patriot
T-72
France

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