Question

Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?

33 comments33

Total Forecasters202

Community Prediction17.5% (10% - 26%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17.5%

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

LGBT

Obergefell v. Hodges

Supreme Court of the US

President of the US

‘Law of the land:’ Biden signals Equal Rights Amendment should be ratified

Al Jazeera•Jan 18, 2025

Some LGBTQ people race to claim rights, fearing rollbacks under Trump

NBC•Jan 16, 2025

Trump Nominee Is About to Make LGBTQ+ History. Progressives Aren't Cheering

Newsweek•Jan 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?

What percentage of American adults in 2070 will identify as LGBTQ?

12.4

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

LGBT

Obergefell v. Hodges

Supreme Court of the US

President of the US

‘Law of the land:’ Biden signals Equal Rights Amendment should be ratified

Al Jazeera•Jan 18, 2025

Some LGBTQ people race to claim rights, fearing rollbacks under Trump

NBC•Jan 16, 2025

Trump Nominee Is About to Make LGBTQ+ History. Progressives Aren't Cheering

Newsweek•Jan 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?

What percentage of American adults in 2070 will identify as LGBTQ?

12.4