Question

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction65%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

median 65.0%mean 60.8%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Albemarle Corporation

United States

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

52%

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Albemarle Corporation

United States

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

52%

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82