Question

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction65% (60.3% - 67%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

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Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Albemarle Corporation

United States

China Is Halting Critical Mineral Exports to the US. An Idaho Mine Could Help—If It Ever Secures Federal Permits.

Washington Free Beacon•Dec 17, 2024

Biden administration races to approve clean energy loans before Trump takes over — here’s who is benefiting

TechCrunch•Dec 14, 2024

The American industry that wants more government intervention

NPR Online News•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

52%

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Albemarle Corporation

United States

China Is Halting Critical Mineral Exports to the US. An Idaho Mine Could Help—If It Ever Secures Federal Permits.

Washington Free Beacon•Dec 17, 2024

Biden administration races to approve clean energy loans before Trump takes over — here’s who is benefiting

TechCrunch•Dec 14, 2024

The American industry that wants more government intervention

NPR Online News•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

52%

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

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Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Comments

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?