Question

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

community: 30%

median 30.0%mean 42.1%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Samarium–cobalt magnet

Rare-earth magnet

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

49.3

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Samarium–cobalt magnet

Rare-earth magnet

U.S. Official Accuses China of Oversupplying Lithium to Eliminate Rivals

Breitbart•Oct 9, 2024

Britain could pay a heavy price if it fails to crackdown on Chinese EVs

Spectator (UK)•Oct 11, 2024

BMW boss says ban on sales of new petrol and diesel cars needs to be CANCELLED to reduce China reliance

Daily Mail•Oct 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

49.3

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

MetaculusM

fetch failed

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

Make a Prediction

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

Comments

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?