Question

Will former president Jair Bolsonaro be extradited back to Brazil before leaving the US?

Resolved :No

18 comments18

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

5.0

Community Peer Score

0.6

median 1.0%mean 3.4%

Authors:

Unwrapped8600

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Florida

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

44.1%

Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?

40%

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Unwrapped8600

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Florida

In Brazil, the US election is inspiring hard-right ‘Trump of the tropics’ supporters to ‘complete our mission’

CNN•Nov 11, 2024

How Will Trump Victory Change US-Brazil Relations?

CounterPunch•Nov 12, 2024

Jair Bolsonaro Dons MAGA Hat for ‘Trump Dance’ to Celebrate Election Victory

Breitbart•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

44.1%

Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?

40%