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Will the US FDA authorize a new vaccine targeting COVID-19 in 2023?

Resolved :No8%

14 comments14

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction8% (1% - 31%)

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50%

community: 8%

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Authors:

dschwarz RyanBeck

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Health & Pandemics

2023 Leaderboard

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When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

2025-10-22

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2023 Leaderboard

Food and Drug Administration

Russia To Launch Free Cancer Vaccine in 2025

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Russian Cancer Vaccine: Scientists 'Very Skeptical'

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

2025-10-22

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the US FDA authorize a new vaccine targeting COVID-19 in 2023?

Make a Prediction

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?