Question

Will the US FDA authorize a new vaccine targeting COVID-19 in 2023?

Resolved :No

14 comments14

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction8%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

1.3

Community Peer Score

11.8

median 8.0%mean 16.1%

Authors:

dschwarz RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Food and Drug Administration

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

2025-10-22

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Food and Drug Administration

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When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

2025-10-22

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%