Question
When will US government 10-year bond yields next exceed 2-year bond yields?
Resolved :Aug 28, 20242024-11-15Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction2024-11-15 (2024-09-03 - 2025-01-01)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 03 Sep 2024 | — |
| median | 15 Nov 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | >01 Jan 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2025-01-01 | 38.4% | — |
What was the final result?Aug 28, 2024
Community Baseline Score
-18.7
Community Peer Score
52.5
Authors:
Opened:Jan 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch