Question

Will an accredited US college or university have taught a course on AI-assisted writing for credit before 2024?

Resolved :Yes

32 comments32

Total Forecasters107

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

23.7

Community Peer Score

18.1

median 99.0%mean 97.6%

Authors:

GustavoLacerda

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

College admissions in the United States

Princeton University

Communication

Literature

When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?

2031-01-01

Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025?

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

GustavoLacerda

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

College admissions in the United States

Princeton University

Communication

Literature

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Business Insider•Nov 14, 2024

Some of Substack’s Biggest Writers Rely On AI Writing Tools

Wired•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?

2031-01-01

Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025?

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

44%