Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 20th, 2023?

Resolved :Ambiguous22%
8
25
Total Forecasters87
Community Prediction22% (15% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 22%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

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Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard
Bakhmut
Russo-Ukrainian War
Donbass
Wagner Group
Volodymyr Zelensky
Soledar
National Guard of Russia
Ukraine
Russia

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