Question

Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 20th, 2023?

Resolved :Ambiguous

25 comments25

Total Forecasters87

Community Prediction22%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 22%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 22.0%mean 23.2%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰

National Guard of Russia

Ukraine

Russia

Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?

0.5%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

67%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰

National Guard of Russia

Ukraine

Russia

Map Shows Major Russian 'Breakthrough' in Northern Ukraine

Newsweek•Nov 14, 2024

Analysis: Ukraine is facing 50,000 Russian troops in Kursk – can they hold out?

Independent•Nov 15, 2024

Analysis: Ukraine is facing 50,000 Russian troops in Kursk – can they hold out?

Independent•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?

0.5%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

67%