Question

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction49.3 (37.5 - 55.1)

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weight:

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

37.55

49.32

55.09

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Jan 29, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2031

World Trade Organization

Rare-earth element

Mountain Pass rare earth mine

Electric fields could mine rare earth metals with less harm

New Scientist•Jan 26, 2025

Cold War 2.0? Russia, China And The U.S. Clash Over Arctic Resources

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

China Makes Rare-Earth Discovery: 'This Changes Everything'

Newsweek•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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30%

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

58.2

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.64

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