Question

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction49.3 (37.5 - 55.1)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

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37.55

49.32

55.09

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Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

World Trade Organization

Rare-earth element

Mountain Pass rare earth mine

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

30%

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

World Trade Organization

Rare-earth element

Mountain Pass rare earth mine

US Shares Update on China's Nuclear Arsenal

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

China Is Halting Critical Mineral Exports to the US. An Idaho Mine Could Help—If It Ever Secures Federal Permits.

Washington Free Beacon•Dec 17, 2024

How China could retaliate against the US in a trade war, according to a Yale economist

Business Insider•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

30%

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

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What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Comments

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?