Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election?

6
22
24 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 20

Make a Prediction

CoalitionMe
CDU+SPD+FDP
no
SPD+Greens+Left
no
SPD+CDU
yes
CDU+SPD+Greens
no
SPD+FDP+Greens
no
Greens+CDU
no
CDU+Greens+FDP
no
SPD+Greens
no
Resolved Mar 31, 2023
Community Baseline Score
81.3
Community Peer Score
1.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MaxR
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
Berlin
Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Free Democratic Party (Germany)
The Greens
Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin
Social Democratic Party of Germany
The Left (Germany)
Franziska Giffey
Democratic Left Alliance

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