M

Question

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
2069
(2046 - 2100)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%2046
median2069
upper 75%>2100
Upper bound
>410451840000%34.3%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2023

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