Question
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
2069
(2046 - 2100)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 2046 | — |
median | 2069 | — |
upper 75% | >2100 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>410451840000% | 34.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2023
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2023