Question

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction

1.4%

(1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1.4%

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Feb 8, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 15, 2025

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

2084

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55%

Comments

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