Question

Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election?

Resolved :No1%

15 comments15

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 1%

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-12.3

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10.9

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Authors:

joel.d

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Australian Capital Territory Legislative Assembly

Brindabella electorate

Australian Capital Territory Electoral Commission

2012 Australian Capital Territory general election

Single transferable vote

Jonathan Davis

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Will Labor win the seat of Sturt in the next Australian Federal Election?

25%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%

Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

joel.d

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Australian Capital Territory Legislative Assembly

Brindabella electorate

Australian Capital Territory Electoral Commission

2012 Australian Capital Territory general election

Single transferable vote

Jonathan Davis

Australia news live: Nationals MP Keith Pitt quits politics citing Coalition’s net zero target; Sydney commuters told to delay non-essential travel

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Labor’s long game: why trust and a little fear matter more than a balanced budget

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

Is the speaker’s gavel slowly slipping away from Mike Johnson?

MSNBC•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Labor win the seat of Sturt in the next Australian Federal Election?

25%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%

Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election?

10%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election?

Make a Prediction

Will Labor win the seat of Sturt in the next Australian Federal Election?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election?

Comments

Will Labor win the seat of Sturt in the next Australian Federal Election?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election?

Will Labor win the seat of Sturt in the next Australian Federal Election?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election?

Will Labor win the seat of Sturt in the next Australian Federal Election?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election?