Question
When will the Sahm rule next imply recession in the US?
Resolved :Jul 1, 20242024-08-26Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction2024-08-26 (2024-07-07 - 2025-02-05)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jul 2024 | — |
| median | Aug 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | Feb 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2034-12-02 | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?Jul 1, 2024
Community Baseline Score
1.8
Community Peer Score
2.4
Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Resolves:Dec 31, 2034
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Resolves:Dec 31, 2034
