🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will the Sahm rule next imply recession in the US?

Resolved :Jul 1, 20242024-08-26
2
6
Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction2024-08-26 (2024-07-07 - 2025-02-05)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2034-12-02
...
...
...
...
2024-07-07 00:41
2024-08-26 06:02
2025-02-05 11:12
0.6%

What was the final result?Jul 1, 2024

Community Baseline Score
1.8
Community Peer Score
2.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
Recession
Claudia Sahm
United States

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