Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will 2019 be the warmest year on record?

Resolved :No22%
32
30
Total Forecasters232
Community Prediction22% (8% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 22%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
4.7
Community Peer Score
40.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
greg-admin
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Environment & Climate
2018-2019 Leaderboard
Chemistry
Goddard Institute for Space Studies
Atmospheric science
Carbon dioxide
Environmental science
Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere
NASA
Climatology
Greenhouse gas

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