Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the US FDA authorize 1,000 AI/ML-enabled medical devices?

7
5
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction2025-06-29 (2024-11-16 - 2026-05-31)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2029-12-31
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...
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2024-11-16 18:21
2025-06-29 04:27
2026-05-31 20:27
0.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Regulation of AI
Health & Pandemics
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
Technology
Food and Drug Administration
Medicine

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