Question
When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction2032-03-30 (2028-12-22 - 2036-12-25)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Dec 2028 | — |
| median | Mar 2032 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2036 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2049-12-31 | 2.0% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
