Question

Will Angela Merkel remain chancellor after the next German federal elections?

Resolved :No1%

18 comments18

Total Forecasters251

Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

95.8

Community Peer Score

9.2

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Sep 28, 2018

Closes:

Oct 24, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 8, 2021

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

AFD

Bundestag

Christian Democratic Union of Germany

Angela Merkel

Social Democratic Party of Germany

Grand coalition (Germany)

East Germany

West Germany

Federal Ministry of Family Affairs, Senior Citizens, Women and Youth

Merkel criticizes German front-runner Merz over migration vote with far-right support

Associated Press•Jan 31, 2025

Merkel Out of Retirement to Tell Off Germany Voting for Border Control

Breitbart•Jan 30, 2025

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz loses no-confidence vote, election called for early next year

FOX News•Feb 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the next chancellor of Germany after 2024?

Who will be the CDU/CSU candidate for chancellor in the next German federal election?

Which parties will form the governing coalition after the 2025 Germany Federal Elections?

Comments

? comments