Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

What will be the total number of fish that Fish Welfare Initiative (FWI) claims to have helped by 2024?

Resolved :1.66M1.92M
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction1.92M (1.7M - 2.29M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<400k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2.5M
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
1.701M
1.923M
2.293M
19.3%

What was the final result?1.66M

Community Baseline Score
54.1
Community Peer Score
4.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
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