Question

By 2023, will there be evidence for a neurological correlate of human consciousness?

Resolved :No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction17%

Make a Prediction

community: 17%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.6

Community Peer Score

7.1

median 17.0%mean 19.9%

Authors:

Ben

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Hard problem of consciousness

Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

57%

Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

25%

By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Ben

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Hard problem of consciousness

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

57%

Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

25%

By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

30%